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7.8 References 1 Rayner G, Lang T. Ecological public health: reshaping the conditions for good health. Abingdon: Routledge, 2012. 2 Steffen W, Crutzen PJ, McNeill JR. The Anthropocene: are humans now overwhelming the great forces of nature? Ambio 2007;36:614–21. 3 Rockström J, Steffen W, Noone K et al. Planetary boundaries: exploring the safe operating space for humanity. Ecol Soc 2009;14:32. 4 Air Quality Expert Group. Air quality and climate change: a UK perspective. London: Defra, 2007. http://uk- air.defra.gov.uk/assets/documents/reports/aqeg/fullreport.pdf [Accessed 21 December 2015]. 5 Reis S, Grennfelt P, Klimont Z et al. Policy Forum: From acid rain to climate change. Science 2012;338:1153–4. 6 Morris GP, Reis S, Beck S et al. Climate change and health in the UK. Scoping and communicating the longer-term 'distal' dimensions. Living with Environmental Change: Climate Change and Health Report Card, technical paper no 10. Swindon: Natural Environment Research Council, 2015. www.nerc.ac.uk/research/partnerships/lwec/ products/report-cards/health/papers/source10/ [Accessed 22 December 2015]. 7 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Working Group I contribution to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2013. www.climatechange2013.org/report/ [Accessed 21 December 2015]. 8 Anderson K, Bows A. Beyond 'dangerous' climate change: emission scenarios for a new world. Phil Trans R Soc A 2011;369:20–44. 9 New M. Four degrees and beyond: the potential for a global temperature increase of four degrees and its implications. Phil Trans R Soc A 2011;369:6–19. 10 Thornton PK, Jones PG, Ericksen PJ, Challinor AJ. Agriculture and food systems in sub-Saharan Africa in a 4°C+ world. Phil Trans R Soc A 2011;369:117–36. 11 Fung F, Lopez A, New M. Water availability in +2°C and +4°C worlds. Phil Trans R Soc A 2011;369:99–116. 12 Kelfkens G, Bregman A, de Gruijl FR et al. Ozone layer–climate change interactions. Influence on UV levels and UV related effects. Global Change NOP–NRP report 2002. Netherlands: RIVM, 2002. www.rivm.nl/bibliotheek/ digitaaldepot/410200112_main_report.pdf [Accessed 21 May 2014]. 13 Gao W, Schmoldt DL, Slusser JR (eds). UV radiation in global climate change: measurements, modeling and effects on ecosystems. Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 2010. 14 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Summary for policymakers. Working Group II contribution to the fifth assessment report climate change of the 2014 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2014. www.ipcc-wg2.gov/AR5/ [Accessed 2 February 2015]. 15 Neira M. Climate change: an opportunity for public health. WHO Department of Public Health, Environmental and Social Determinants of Health, 2014. www.who.int/mediacentre/commentaries/climate-change/en/ [Accessed 14 May 2015]. 16 Vardoulakis S, Heaviside C (eds). Health effects of climate change in the UK 2012: current evidence, recommendations and research gaps. London: Health Protection Agency, 2012. www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/ attachment_data/file/371103/Health_Effects_of_Climate_Change_in_the_UK_2012_V13_with_cover_accessible.pdf [Accessed 21 December 2015]. 17 Adger WN, Eakin H, Winkels A. Nested and teleconnected vulnerabilities to environmental change. Front Ecol Environ 2009;7:150–7. 18 Holland M, Amann M, Heyes C et al. Technical policy briefing 6: The reduction in air quality impacts and associated economic benefits of mitigation policy. Summary of results from the EC RTD ClimateCost Project. In Watkiss P (ed), 2011. The ClimateCost Project. Final Report. Volume 1: Europe. Stockholm: Stockholm Environment Institute, 2011. www.climatecost.cc/images/Policy_Brief_master_REV_WEB_medium_.pdf [Accessed 21 December 2015]. 19 World Health Organization. HRAPIE: Health risks of air pollution in Europe – HRAPIE project. Recommendations for concentration–response functions for cost–benefit analysis of particulate matter, ozone and nitrogen dioxide. Bonn: WHO, 2013. www.euro.who.int/en/health-topics/environment-and-health/air-quality/publications/2013/health-risks-of-air- pollution-in-europe-hrapie-project-recommendations-for-concentrationresponse-functions-for-costbenefit-analysis- of-particulate-matter,-ozone-and-nitrogen-dioxide/ [Accessed 15 December 2015]. 20 Holland M. Cost–benefit analysis of final policy scenarios for the EU Clean Air Package (corresponding to IIASA TSAP 7 Changing our future © Royal College of Physicians 2016 101

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